San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026
world_events50% YES / 50% NO
OPENCloses 10/31/2026
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world_events
San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
How fast will Manifold solve the snake (Level 3)?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
tech
Will a rogue AI kill a human before 2030?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
tech
Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will a manifolder report on the Oreo chicken burger in the next month?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000 due to AGI? And if not, why?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
crypto
Will Bitcoin undergo a hard fork before 2027?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
crypto
By the end of 2026 will @ian finish our nft project?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Palm Beach Pete is Jeffery Epstein
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
tech
Z.AI (MNX)
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will I ever run for president of the USA
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
MiniMax (MNX)
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Will I think that anyone looked at someone's reciprocity.io matches without their consent via access to the backend by 2030?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Who will learn to write first? My left hand or my robot hand?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
If Trump wins, will Hunter Biden be found guilty of a crime before EOY 2026?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
world_events
Who is behind Twitter user @qorrenqial1215?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
tech
Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?
Prediction
50%
/
OPEN
Closes 10/31/2026
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